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The New York Knicks have clinched the Eastern Conference Finals and are waiting to see whether the Oklahoma City Thunder or San Antonio Spurs will emerge from the West. The Thunder are the current favorites to win the 2026 NBA Championship at +110, but a rested Knicks team with 11 straight playoff wins is a legitimate threat at +210.
Below, I break down the latest 2026 NBA Finals odds, my picks for each major market, and the prop bets worth targeting before the matchup is set.
My 2026 NBA Finals picks at a glance:
- Championship winner: New York Knicks (+210)
- Finals MVP: Jalen Brunson (+265)
- Exact result: Knicks beat Thunder (+450)
2026 NBA Finals Odds
The following odds are from BetUS and reflect the current three-team field.
| Market | Favorite | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| NBA Championship Winner | OKC Thunder | +110 |
| Finals MVP | Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | +120 |
| Exact Result | OKC beats NYK | +100 |
The Knicks’ sweep of Cleveland shifted the market. OKC dropped from outright favorite to +110 after New York locked up nine days of rest before the June 3 Finals opener.
Which Teams Will Play in the 2026 NBA Finals?
Eastern Conference: New York Knicks (confirmed)
The Knicks are in the NBA Finals for the first time since 1999. They swept the Cleveland Cavaliers in the Eastern Conference Finals, extending their postseason winning streak to 11 games. Ten of those 11 wins came by double digits, including a 37-point blowout to close out Game 4. Their +271 playoff point differential is the highest ever recorded by a team before reaching the NBA Finals.
The Cavaliers led by 22 points late in Game 1 and still lost. Cleveland never recovered.
Western Conference: Thunder vs. Spurs (tied 2-2)
The Thunder and Spurs are deadlocked heading into Game 5 on May 26 in Oklahoma City. San Antonio won Games 1 and 4; Oklahoma City won Games 2 and 3. Two of the remaining three games are at Paycom Center, where OKC went 34-7 in the regular season and 5-1 this postseason.
Current WCF series odds (BetUS):
| Outcome | Odds |
|---|---|
| Thunder win 4-2 | +200 |
| Thunder win 4-3 | +165 |
| Spurs win 4-2 | +400 |
| Spurs win 4-3 | +425 |
| Series over 6.5 games | -110 |
| Series under 6.5 games | -120 |
| Thunder win series | -165 |
| Spurs win series | +142 |
SGA leads the WCF MVP race at -210. Victor Wembanyama is second at +180. Follow every remaining series result with our 2026 NBA playoff bracket.
2026 NBA Championship Odds: Team-by-Team Breakdown
Oklahoma City Thunder (+110)
OKC is the defending champion and spent most of the season as the consensus favorite to repeat. They went 64-18, earned the top seed in the West, and swept their first two playoff series. Home court in a potential NBA Finals matchup with New York is a real edge — the Thunder beat the Knicks in both regular-season meetings this year.
The concern is fatigue. Even if OKC beats San Antonio, they face a Knicks team with nine or more days of rest. The Spurs also went 4-1 against the Thunder in the regular season, suggesting the matchup is tougher than the odds implied going into the series.
New York Knicks (+210)
New York is making its first Finals appearance in 27 years, and no team in the current field has more momentum. The Knicks have won 11 straight, and their defense — allowing just 100.6 points per game in the playoffs, the fewest of any team — travels to any venue.
Their rest advantage is significant. New York has been off since clinching, while either OKC or San Antonio will play at a minimum of a six-game series. Historically, that kind of rest gap provides a measurable edge in Game 1, and stealing home court early would be the Knicks’ path to a championship.
San Antonio Spurs (+270)
The Spurs are long shots but not a mirage. Victor Wembanyama is averaging 30.3 points and 13.3 rebounds in the WCF, and San Antonio beat OKC four times in five regular-season meetings. If they can get past the Thunder, the Spurs would likely enter the Finals as favorites over New York despite the rest disadvantage.
The problem is the path. Winning two of three remaining games — with two on the road in OKC — is a genuine ask. And a long series drains a roster that already has less playoff experience than the Knicks.
2026 NBA Finals Prop Bets
Finals MVP Odds
| Player | Odds |
|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | +120 |
| Jalen Brunson | +265 |
| Victor Wembanyama | +275 |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | +1600 |
| OG Anunoby | +4000 |
SGA won Finals MVP last year and is the +120 favorite. Brunson just won ECF MVP and is the best price in the field if you believe in the Knicks. Wembanyama at +275 only hits if San Antonio makes it through the West and wins the title, which is a two-step parlay built into the price.
Best value: Jalen Brunson (+265). If the Knicks win, Brunson is the most likely MVP. He has been their best player all postseason and carries the offense in close games.
Finals Exact Result Odds
| Outcome | Odds |
|---|---|
| Thunder beat Knicks | +100 |
| Spurs beat Knicks | +275 |
| Knicks beat Thunder | +450 |
| Knicks beat Spurs | +550 |
The even-money line on the Thunder beating the Knicks reflects how much the market respects OKC’s depth and home court. The Knicks beating the Thunder at +450 is the value pick if you believe in the rest advantage and New York’s defensive identity.
My 2026 NBA Finals Predictions
Championship winner: New York Knicks (+210)
On paper, the Spurs or Thunder should beat the Knicks in a neutral seven-game series. But this Finals is not being played on neutral ground in terms of preparation. New York gets nine days off while their opponent plays through a grind. Rest matters in June, and the Knicks are built to execute a defensive scheme that gets harder to crack as fatigue sets in.
Finals MVP: Jalen Brunson (+265)
Brunson has been the engine of New York’s run. He is the reason the Knicks closed out Cleveland when the series was still competitive and will be the primary scorer in a Finals matchup regardless of opponent. +265 is a fair price for a pick-the-team parlay on the likely Knicks MVP.
Exact result: Knicks beat Thunder (+450)
OKC gets through the Spurs, but a banged-up Thunder team coming off a six-plus game series runs into a locked-in Knicks defense and can’t replicate its home dominance on the road in New York. The Knicks steal the series in six or seven.
Where to Bet on the 2026 NBA Finals
BetUS offers the most complete menu of 2026 NBA Finals markets, including series prices, exact result props, Finals MVP, and game-by-game lines that update after every game. New members can apply a $3,000 welcome bonus toward any NBA Finals wager.
2026 NBA Finals FAQ
The Oklahoma City Thunder are the current favorites at +110 to win the 2026 NBA championship. The New York Knicks are second at +210, and the San Antonio Spurs are at +270.
The 2026 NBA Finals begin on June 3. The New York Knicks have already clinched the East and will play Games 1 and 2 on the road.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is the +120 favorite to win Finals MVP. Jalen Brunson is next at +265, and Victor Wembanyama is third at +275.
The Knicks are +210 to win the title. Their case rests on an 11-game winning streak, the best point differential in the playoffs, an elite defense that allows just 100.6 points per game, and a significant rest advantage over their Finals opponent.
As of May 26, the series between the Thunder and Spurs is tied 2-2. Oklahoma City is a -165 favorite to win the series with two of the remaining three games at Paycom Center.
The best value in current NBA Finals odds is the Knicks to win at +210. Their rest advantage, defensive consistency, and momentum give them a realistic path against either Western Conference opponent. For exact results bets, the Knicks over Thunder at +450 looks like a strong value.
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