International NFL Games: Pittsburgh Steelers vs. New Orleans Saints Odds, Picks, and Analysis

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The 2026 international NFL game series makes history this weekend with the first-ever regular-season NFL game in France. New Orleans hosts Pittsburgh at Stade de France in Saint-Denis, just outside of Paris.
Continue reading to see the latest odds for the 2026 international game between the Steelers and the Saints. I discuss the latest odds and give my top picks for this Sunday’s matchup.
Current Pittsburgh Steelers vs. New Orleans Saints Paris Odds Snapshot
Top NFL betting sites provided the following odds on October 21st for Pittsburgh Steelers vs. New Orleans Saints in Paris.
| Market | Lucky Rebel1 of 3 | BetUS2 of 3 | BetOnline3 of 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Steelers (-180) Saints (+155) | Steelers (-185) Saints (+159) | Steelers (-185) Saints (+161) |
| Point Spread | Steelers -3.0 (-120) | Steelers -3.5 (+100) | Steelers -3.5 (-102) |
| Total Points | Over/Under 45.0 | Over/Under 44.5 | Over/Under 44.5 |
The Steelers (4-2) are moderate road favorites against the Saints (2-4) in Paris. Pittsburgh is laying at least a field goal across the board and is available at -180 or shorter odds at most sportsbooks.
Oddsmakers have the total points set at over/under 45.0 or 44.5 points, depending on where you bet.
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. New Orleans Saints Prop Wagers
Here are my top three props for this Sunday’s international game between the Steelers and the Saints.
- Lucky Rebel: Tyler Shough over 1.5 passing TDs (+125)
- BetUS: Alvin Kamara 23+ receiving yards (+134)
- BetOnline: Both teams score in the 1st quarter (+130)
Tyler Shough, who has 12 passing TDs in six games, is listed at +125 odds to throw for over 1.5 passing TDs on Sunday. You can also bet on Alvin Kamara to have 23+ receiving yards at +134 odds and both teams to score at +130 odds.
The Nerd’s Verdict on Pittsburgh Steelers vs. New Orleans Saints Paris
Read on for my top bets on Steelers vs. Saints in France.
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. New Orleans Saints Moneyline
- Verdict: Bet on the Steelers to win
- Best captured price: -180 at Lucky Rebel
- Break-even probability: 64.29%
- Target price: -200 or better odds
- Primary risk: Pittsburgh is 1-2 on the road and averaging fewer points per game than New Orleans.
- Confidence: Moderate – The Steelers defense is top-10 in sacks, and Shough is one of the league’s most-sacked QBs.
Pittsburgh Steelers (-180)
Pittsburgh lost its first two road games, but it pulled off a comeback win over the Buccaneers in Tampa Bay last week. That win should give the Steelers momentum as they head to Paris. New Orleans also won last week, taking down the Giants in MetLife.
The Steelers have relied heavily on their defense to win in spite of the team’s offensive issues. Pittsburgh’s Steel Curtain has 16 sacks, tied for the ninth-most, and 10 forced turnovers, tied for the third-most.
Tyler Shough has been sacked 13 times, which is tied for the 10th-most in the league. He also has five interceptions, tied for the seventh-most. If Pittsburgh can protect Rodgers and force Shough into mistakes, the Steelers can get their second international win in years.
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. New Orleans Saints Point Spread
- Verdict: Bet on the Saints to cover
- Best captured price: +3.5 (-118) at BetOnline
- Break-even probability: 54.13%
- Target price: 3.0 points or more
- Primary risk: New Orleans has struggled to protect Shough in the pocket this season.
- Confidence: High – New Orleans is averaging 2.5 PPG more than Pittsburgh.
New Orleans Saints +3.5 (-118)
BetOnline lists New Orleans as +3.5-point underdogs for Sunday’s game in Paris. The Saints (25.3 PPG) are only 2-4, but they have scored more points than Pittsburgh (22.8 PPG) this year.
Shough started the year off hot with 250+ passing yards in four straight games. He has regressed lately, throwing for just 240 yards total in his last two starts. On the bright side, Shough still had four total TDs last week, and the Saints scored 34 points, matching the Steelers’ season-high this year.
Pittsburgh’s struggles to move the ball consistently increase the chances this game will be close. Shough can further increase the odds the Saints cover the 3.5-point spread by returning to his early-season form.
Best Pittsburgh Steelers vs. New Orleans Saints Player Prop
- Verdict: Bet on Alvin Kamara 23+ receiving yards
- Best captured price: +134 at BetUS
- Break-even probability: 42.74%
- Target price: Even money or better odds
- Primary risk: Kamara has had fewer than 10 touches in back-to-back games.
- Confidence: Moderate – Kamara had 35 receiving yards in two of his last three starts.
My top player prop for this Steelers vs. Saints game is for Alvin Kamara to have 23+ receiving yards. Kamara’s workload has been reduced this season, but he should see the field with Travis Etienne still on IR.
Kamara has 35 receiving yards in two of his last three starts. He is also averaging three receptions per game this year.
He is dealing with a lower back injury, but Kamara finished last week’s game against the Giants. Pittsburgh has struggled at times to contain RBs, allowing 121.17 scrimmage YPG to the position.
RBs are averaging 35 receiving YPG and 7.5 yards per reception against the Steelers. They have also given up three 20+ yard receptions to RBs this year. Pittsburgh’s issues should help Kamara, the Saints’ pass-catching back.
Who the Market Picks to Win: Pittsburgh Steelers vs. New Orleans Saints
The market is backing the Steelers in the first-ever regular-season game in France. Lucky Rebel has Pittsburgh favored by 3.0, while BetUS and BetOnline have the Steelers laying 3.5 points.
Pittsburgh has a better record, but its offense has struggled at times this season. The Steelers are averaging 320.5 total yards and 22.8 points per game. For comparison, the Saints have managed 321.5 YPG and 25.3 PPG.
This game should come down to which team can win the line of scrimmage. Shough has been sacked 13 times, tied for the 10th-most, and Rogers has been sacked 19 times, tied for the third-most.
Both teams have struggled to run the ball, too, managing fewer than 100 rushing YPG each. If Pittsburgh starts slowly again, as it did against Tampa Bay, the Steelers could be in trouble in Paris.
3 Biggest Factors That Can Influence Pittsburgh Steelers vs. New Orleans Saints
Here are the three most important factors to consider before betting on Steelers-Saints.
Both Teams Struggle to Protect Their QB
Aaron Rodgers (19) and Tyler Shough (13) are among the NFL’s most-sacked QBs this season. They have also been great at sacking opposing QBs, with Pittsburgh racking up 16 sacks to New Orleans’ 15. Whichever team protects its quarterback better this week will have a major advantage in France.
Pittsburgh’s WR Injuries
One reason Pittsburgh’s offense has struggled this year is the injuries to its WR room. Multiple starters, including Michael Pittman Jr. (foot) and Roman Wilson (finger), are on IR and will miss this game.
Ongoing Protests in France
The ongoing protests in France could also affect this game. Both teams and the league have beefed up security measures, but the protests could still disrupt Pittsburgh’s and New Orleans’ normal preparation ahead of Sunday’s game.
International NFL Games 2026 Predictions
Pittsburgh is the betting favorite this weekend, and I think the Steelers will win in Paris. However, I like the Saints to cover a 3.5-point spread against a low-scoring Steelers offense.
(Photo by AP Photo/Chris O’Meara)