2025 Home Run Derby Odds and Predictions

Author ImageAuthor: | Last Updated: July 2025
home run derby

The latest home run derby odds are the easiest way to wager on the annual MLB All-Star event. You can wager on all of the top contenders, including Oneil Cruz and Cal Raleigh. The bracket-style competition ensures bettors have multiple rounds of fun wagering ahead of them.

This guide analyzes the latest Home Run Derby 2025 odds for the top hitters. I will break down odds for all the favorites and give my predictions for this year’s winner.

2025 Home Run Derby Odds

See the table below for the latest Home Run Derby odds for 2025, courtesy of Bovada.

HeaderHome Run Derby Odds
Oneil Cruz+330
Cal Raleigh+350
James Wood+500
Matt Olson+800
Byron Buxton+850
Jazz Chisholm+950
Brent Rooker+1000
Junior Caminero+1000

Top baseball betting sites list Oneil Cruz as the +330 favorite to win this year’s Home Run Derby. He is just ahead of Cal Raleigh (+350), who currently leads the MLB in home runs.

James Wood (+500), Matt Olson (+800), and Byron Buxton (+850) round out the top five. Jazz Chisholm just missed the top five at +950 odds. Brent Rooker and Junior Caminero are tied for the longest odds at 10-1 each.

Oneil Cruz (+330)

Cruz is tied for the 36th-most home runs so far this season with 16. He has hit the same number of homers as Mike Trout and Fernando Tatis Jr.

He was not selected for the MLB All-Star Game, but Cruz certainly has the power to hold his own in the Derby. In August 2022, Cruz set a new record for the hardest hit ball in the Statcast era at 122.4 MPH.

Cruz broke his own record this past May, hitting a ball 122.9 MPH against the Brewers. He has the power, but Cruz’s consistency with hitting the ball will determine if he wins the Derby or not. Pittsburgh’s young star is hitting .204 so far this season.

Cal Raleigh (+350)

Cal Raleigh has hit 36 home runs this season, the most in all of the MLB. Despite leading the majors in home runs, Raleigh only has the second-best odds MLB Home Run Derby odds at +350.

Raleigh has improved his home run total each year and has hit 100 homers over the last three years.  He was also named to his first All-Star Game this season.

In addition to leading the league in home runs, Raleigh is also on pace to set career-bests in:

  • Batting average (.262)
  • Slugging percentage (.631)
  • OPS (1.008)

Simply put, Raleigh has dominated at the plate this season. If he brings that same energy to Truist Park, then he will be taking the Home Run Derby trophy back to Seattle.

James Wood (+500)

Another top contender in the current 2025 Home Run Derby odds is James Wood. Washington’s second-year star is listed at 5-1 odds to claim his first Derby title.

Wood made his Major League debut last season, playing in 79 games for the Nationals. He hit nine home runs and batted in 41 RBIs in his rookie season. So far this season, Wood has smashed 24 homers while racking up 99 hits and 69 RBIs.

His 24 home runs are the eighth-most in the league and the second-most of anyone in this year’s Derby.

Wood has hit a minor slump as of late. Since the June 24th game against San Diego, Wood has hit just two homers in 49 at-bats. If Wood cannot turn his luck around, he will likely disappoint in his first Home Run Derby appearance. 

Byron Buxton (+850)

Rounding out the top five in this year’s Home Run Derby betting odds is Byron Buxton. Secure betting sites list Minnesota’s center fielder at +850 odds to win this year’s Derby.

Buxton is in his 11th season in the Majors and was named to his second All-Star Game this season. He also won the Gold Glove Award in 2017. Buxton has spent his entire Major League career with Minnesota, hitting .247 and crushing 153 homers for the Twins.

This season is the first time since 2022 that Buxton has been named an All-Star. It is the first time since then that he has hit at least 20 home runs. He set a career-high in 2022 with 28 homers and is on pace to set a new personal-best this season.

Where to Bet on the Home Run Derby

As you can see, there are plenty of stars taking the field in this year’s Home Run Derby. You can bet on your top picks to win the Derby at Bovada.

Bovada offers competitive odds on every hitter taking part in the 2025 Home Run Derby. It also has a great UI, making it super easy to bet on your predictions. You can even bet from your mobile device and access live odds once the Derby has started.

If you are new to Bovada, be sure to take advantage of the sportsbook’s fantastic welcome bonuses. Cash bettors can get a deposit match up to $250. Crypto users, on the other hand, can claim up to $750 in extra funds with their first qualifying deposit.

Read this in-depth Bovada review to learn more about this top-rated sportsbook.

Home Run Derby Betting Tips & Strategy

Finding the best odds to win the Home Run Derby is just step one. Here are three tips to help you make the right predictions for this year’s Derby.

Know the Competitors

One of the easiest ways to level the playing field with the sportsbook is by being an informed bettor. Researching the competitors in the Derby will make it that much easier to predict the winner.

Knowing how each batter has performed recently is a good place to start. You should also research their chosen pitcher and any health issues that could impact their performance in the tournament.

Consider the Stadium

Every baseball fan knows that some ballparks are more batter-friendly than others. With that in mind, researching the park can be as important as studying up on the batters.

For reference, this year’s All-Star Game is in Atlanta. So, the Home Run Derby will take place at the home of the Atlanta Braves, Truist Park.

According to Statcast, Truist Park ranks just above average in home runs allowed over the last three years. Also, right-handed batters have fared better than lefties. For what it is worth, Raleigh can hit with either hand, but Cruz and Wood are both left-handed hitters.

Bet on Live Odds

The Home Run Derby bracket creates exciting betting opportunities at every level. Wagering on live odds is the best way to take advantage of the latest odds for each stage of the competition.

Betting on live odds allows you to take advantage of up-to-the-minute information about every competitor. Also, if your pick is eliminated early, you can wager on a new batter and potentially make up for your losses.

Home Run Derby Predictions

Oneil Cruz has the best odds for the 2025 Home Run Derby. Despite the odds, I do not think that Cruz will win this year’s competition.

Instead, I recommend betting on Cal Raleigh. He currently leads the MLB in home runs, and he can bat from either side. Batting as a righty at Truist Park should give Raleigh an edge over the left-handed hitters in this year’s Derby.

  • Prediction: Cal Raleigh +350

Are You Ready to Bet on the Home Run Derby?

It is All-Star week in the MLB, which means it is time to bet on the final Home Run Derby odds. Read the guide above for a closer look at this year’s top batters and a breakdown of the latest betting lines.

Then, sign up at Bovada to bet on your Home Run Derby picks. New members can claim exciting welcome bonuses, including a $750 deposit match, to help them bet on this year’s All-Star festivities.

Bet on the Home Run Derby at Bovada!

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About the Author

Shaun Stack is a senior writer at Gambling Nerd. His gambling articles have appeared in the Daily Herald, Space Coast Daily, and NJ 101.5. He’s a football betting expert, a Survivor fan, and a skilled blackjack gambler. Shaun is a native of Kansas City but now lives in Pennsylvania and follows the Pittsburgh Steelers religiously.