2025 Brazil NFL Game Odds and Picks
The 2025 NFL Brazil game features two of the three AFC West teams that made the playoffs last season. Los Angeles hosts Kansas City at Arena Corinthians in São Paulo, Brazil.
An international game of this magnitude deserves special attention from fans and bettors. Keep reading to see the current Brazil NFL game odds for Chiefs vs. Chargers and my picks for this divisional matchup.
NFL Brazil Game Overview
- Date: Friday, September 5th
- Start time: 8:00 pm ET
- Matchup: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Los Angeles Chargers
- Location: Arena Corinthians, São Paulo, Brazil
Brazil NFL Game Odds
Here are the latest odds for this year’s NFL Brazil matchup, courtesy of Bovada.
Team | Point Spread | Moneyline | Total |
---|---|---|---|
Kansas City Chiefs | -3.0 (-115) | -170 | Over 45.5 (-110) |
Los Angeles Chargers | +3.0 (-105) | +145 | Under 45.5 (-110) |
Kansas City is a 3.0-point road favorite over LA this Friday. The underdog Chargers are available at +145 on the moneyline. Oddsmakers have the total listed at over/under 45.5 points.
Read this Bovada Sportsbook review to learn more about this highly-rated betting site.
Kansas City Chiefs Brazil Odds
- Point spread: -3.0 (-115)
- Moneyline: -170
Kansas City’s crushing loss in Super Bowl 59 made it easy to forget about the Chiefs’ dominant 2024 season. The Chiefs earned a 15-2 record last season and only lost one game with Patrick Mahomes under center.
Mahomes is 10-2 in his 12 career games against the Chargers. His career averages against LA include:
- 272.5 passing YPG
- 64.2% completion percentage
- 2.3 passing TDs
- 0.6 interceptions
Additionally, Mahomes has led the Chiefs to a win in his last six starts against the Chargers. His command of the division extends beyond the Chargers, too, as Mahomes only has one road loss against AFC West opponents in his career.
Los Angeles Chargers Brazil Odds
- Point spread: +3.0 (-105)
- Moneyline: +145
The designated home team for this year’s NFL Brazil game is the Los Angeles Chargers. Giving up a home game against a divisional opponent is unfair, but, on the bright side, the Chargers have little to no home-field advantage in LA.
Justin Herbert and company went 11-6 in the regular season last year. However, two of their six losses came against Kansas City, losing 17-10 and 19-17 to the Chiefs in Weeks 4 and 14, respectively.
On the bright side, the Chargers finished 4-2 in the division, sweeping the Raiders and the Broncos.
Herbert’s career stats against the Chiefs include:
- 266.1 passing YPG
- 66.2%% completion percentage
- 2.0 passing TDs
- 0.7 interceptions
Herbert is 2-7 all-time against Kansas City, and only one of those wins came against Mahomes. However, he also has at least one passing touchdown in each of his nine career games against the Chiefs.
Total Over/Under 45.5 Points
- Over 45.5 (-110)
- Under 45.5 (-110)
Sports betting sites list the over/under for this year’s NFL Brazil game at 45.5 points. Both options are available at -110.
Last year, Breen Bay and Philadelphia combined for 63 points when they squared off in Week 1 in Brazil. However, KC and LA both have great defenses and typically have low-scoring games. In their last four matchups, the Chiefs and Chargers have combined for more than 45.5 points once.
NFL Brazil Game Predictions
Here are my predictions for the 2025 NFL Brazil game:
- Point spread: Kansas City Chiefs -3.0 (-115)
- Moneyline: Kansas City Chiefs (-170)
- Total: Under 45.5 points (-110)
Mahomes has never lost a road game against the Chargers, and that streak will continue in Brazil. I recommend taking the Chiefs’ moneyline for the second game of the NFL season.
Also, KC will cover the 3.0-point spread. The Chiefs have won their road matchups against the Chargers by at least 3.0 points in four of the last five years. Mahomes and company have extra motivation to play well on the national stage after their disastrous performance in the Super Bowl.
KC and LA have formidable defenses. The Chiefs should win comfortably, but the teams will not cover the 45.5 points.
NFL Brazil Game Prop Bets
In addition to the match odds above, top NFL betting sites offer exciting prop bets for the 2025 NFL Brazil game.
Travis Kelce Anytime TD Scorer (+150)
One of my top NFL Brazil prop bets is for Taylor Swift’s fiancé to score a touchdown. Travis Kelce is listed at +150 odds in the latest anytime TD scorer markets.
Kelce is one of the players in this market, behind only Omarion Hampton (+110), Xavier Worthy (+137), and Najee Harris (+140). He is tied with Isiah Pacheco for the fourth-shortest odds in this market.
There is no denying Kelce’s prime is behind him. However, he seemingly always has something left in the tank for divisional opponents. Kelce has nine touchdowns in his 20 career games against LA, and I think he will get his 10th in KC’s road opener in Brazil.
Ladd McConkey 1st Chargers TD Scorer (+500)
Another player I like to score this Friday is the Chargers’ second-year wide receiver Ladd McConkey. He is listed at +175 odds to score any time, but I believe he will be LA’s first touchdown scorer on Friday.
McConkey is listed at 5-1 to be LA’s first TD scorer in Brazil. He has the third-best odds behind Hampton (+330) and Harris (+350).
KC has a great run defense that will be focused on stopping Jim Harbaugh’s run-heavy offense. This should create opportunities for LA in the passing game, which increases McConkey’s odds of scoring the Chargers’ first touchdown of the 2025 season.
Total Points Under 40.5 (+165)
As mentioned above, oddsmakers list the total points for this game at over/under 45.5 points, and I favor the under. In fact, I doubt the Chiefs and Chargers will combine for more than 40.5 points.
Bovada has alternate line game props for this NFL game in Brazil. You can bet on the game having under 40.5 total points at +165 odds. These teams combined for fewer than 40 points twice last season, and I expect them to continue that trend on Friday.
Tips for Betting on NFL International Games
Wagering on international games can be tricky, given the extended travel and time differences that players must deal with. Here are three tips to keep in mind when making your bets for this year’s NFL Brazil matchup between KC and LA.
It Is a “Neutral” Site
Home teams typically have a 3.0-point advantage over their opponents. However, international games are played on neutral sites.
So, even though LA is the “home” team, they will not have a home-field advantage this Friday. On the bright side, the Chargers are accustomed to every game feeling like a road game since their move from San Diego to Los Angeles.
Research Past Matchups
Another tip for betting on international games, such as this Friday’s Brazil game, is to research previous meetings between the two teams.
Kansas City and Los Angeles are AFC West division rivals, meaning they play at least twice a year. This is great news for bettors, as there are plenty of recent matchups to study.
Not all past matchups provide good information for bettors, though. Try to focus your research on recent games that pitted Mahomes against Herbert. Last year’s matchups are the most relevant, but their showdowns in 2023 and 2022 can also provide valuable information.
Consider Injuries, Roster Moves, and Time of Year
Finally, you should factor in injuries, roster changes from last season, and the time of year into your betting predictions.
Adding Najee Harris, for instance, was one of the Chargers’ biggest roster moves this offseason. Unfortunately, the former Steelers running back had a fireworks mishap on July 4th, injuring his eye and putting his Week 1 status in doubt. LA’s starting left tackle, Rashawn Slater, is also out for the year after tearing his patellar tendon in his left knee.
The time of the year will also likely impact this divisional matchup. Offenses tend to be less refined in the early part of the season. So, favor the under in most markets for Chiefs-Chargers in Brazil.
Where to Bet on NFL Brazil Matchups
This year’s NFL Brazil game once again kicks off the international series. The Chiefs and Chargers will square off in Brazil for a chance to take an early 1-0 lead in the division race. See the guide above for the latest odds for this year’s NFL game in Brazil.
If you are ready to bet on the 2025 NFL Brazil matchup, sign up at Bovada Sportsbook today. It offers dozens of competitive lines for every Week 1 game, including Chiefs-Chargers. New members can get a 75% deposit match with their first qualifying crypto deposit.