• NFL

2025-2026 NFL MVP Odds and Predictions

The latest 2025 NFL MVP odds indicate a tight race as the season comes to a close. Matthew Stafford and Drake Maye, who have led MVP debates all year, lead the odds with a month remaining.

Keep reading to see the latest NFL MVP betting odds for the 2025-2026 season. I analyze the latest odds and highlight which contenders offer the best betting value for MVP this season.

2025 NFL MVP Odds

BetOnline provided the following updated NFL 2025 MVP odds.

Player	2025 NFL MVP Odds
Matthew Stafford	-195
Drake Maye	+200
Jordan Love	+1000
Josh Allen	+1100

Matthew Stafford, who has led the Rams to an 11-3 start and the top seed in the NFC, is the -195 favorite to win the MVP this season. He is closely followed by second-year QB Drake Maye. Maye and the Patriots are off to an 11-3 start, and they’re currently just behind the Broncos for the top seed in the AFC.

Rounding out the top four are Jordan Love (+1000) and Josh Allen (+1100). Love has the Packers atop a competitive NFC North, while Allen is attempting to catch Maye and the Pats to extend Buffalo’s streak of winning the AFC East.

Matthew Stafford (-195)

Over the last decade plus, the NFL MVP has consistently gone to a quarterback on one of the top teams in their respective conference. Matthew Stafford checks both of those boxes so far, as his Rams are currently the number one seed in the NFC.

With that in mind, it is no surprise that Stafford has the best odds to win MVP at top NFL betting sites.

Stafford is the -195 betting favorite to win MVP this year. In addition to having a great record, Stafford has the numbers to back up what could be his first MVP season in his 16-year career.

Through the first 15 weeks, Stafford ranks:

• 1st in passing TDs (37)
• 1st in passer rating (112.2)
• 1st in adjusted net YPA (8.37)
• 4th in passing yards (3,722)

Stafford also set the NFL record by throwing 28 consecutive TD passes without an interception. He has just five interceptions this season, giving him a 37:5 TD: INT ratio.

If Stafford and the Rams maintain their pace and claim the number one seed, it will be hard to deny the veteran his first MVP award. 

Drake Maye (+200)

Stafford has plenty of experience, but savvy veterans are not the only ones in the running for MVP. Drake Maye’s breakout second season has the Patriots one win away from clinching the AFC East. It has also propelled Maye to second in the MVP odds at +200.

After a 1-2 start, Maye led the Patriots to a 10-game winning streak before Sunday’s loss to Buffalo. With a little help from Denver’s remaining opponents, Maye and company could also secure the top seed in the AFC this season.

Maye has far exceeded even the loftiest expectations in his sophomore season, racking up the following stats.

• 3,567 passing yards – 2nd most
• 23 passing TDs – 4th most
• 70.9% completion percentage – 1st among QBs with 3+ starts
• 8.7 YPA – 2nd most

However, Maye has not been perfect this season. His turnover issues cost the Pats against the Raiders and the Steelers early in the season. Also, he has been sacked 40 times, the fourth-most in the NFL.

Jordan Love (+1000)

Jordan Love is a distant third in the latest NFL MVP odds at +1000. Love and the Packers assumed control of the NFC North with their win over Chicago in Week 14. However, they need help to take over the top spot in the conference.

Green Bay faces a tough final stretch. The Packers will hit the road to face the Bears (10-4) in Week 16. Then, Green Bay hosts a desperate Ravens team before ending the season in Minnesota.

On the bright side, playing well against tough opponents is exactly what Love needs to make up ground in the MVP betting markets. If Love lives up to his billing in Toyotathon, he could offer significant value at 10-1 odds.

Josh Allen (+1100)

Rounding out the top four is the reigning MVP, Josh Allen. Repeating as MVP is easier said than done.

Only two QBs, Peyton Manning (2008) and Johnny Unitas (1967), have won the MVP without also winning their division. Steve McNair was co-MVP with Manning in 2003 as quarterback of a fifth-seed Titans team. The Bills and Patriots are neck-and-neck in the division heading into the season’s stretch run.

Even with Sunday’s huge win over the Patriots, Buffalo will need help down the stretch to keep their division hopes and Allen’s MVP chances alive.

Dark Horse 2025 MVP Contenders

There are just three games left, but it is not too late to wager on MVP sleepers for the 2025 season.

Justin Herbert (+10000)

Justin Herbert and the Chargers are still alive for the division at 10-4 but face one of the toughest remaining schedules in the NFL. LA’s remaining three games include:

• Week 16: @ Dallas
• Week 17: vs. Houston
• Week 18: @ Denver

Winning out will be challenging, but it also presents an excellent opportunity for Herbert. The Chargers officially eliminated KC from playoff contention. If the Bolts manage to catch Bo Nix and the Broncos for the division title, Herbert will have a strong case to present to MVP voters.

Bo Nix  (+10000)

Speaking of Nix, he is tied with Herbert at +10000 odds to win MVP. Nix has led his team to 11 straight wins, and, thanks to a common-opponents tiebreaker, the Broncos are currently the top seed in the conference.

Maintaining control of the number one seed will be tough, but Nix has a terrific defense to help him. Denver’s highly-ranked defense could hurt Nix’s MVP case, though, as it diminished the credit the second-year QB gets for the Broncos’ success. 

Jaxon Smith-Njigba (+12500)

Seattle’s Jaxon Smith-Njigba has the best odds of any non-quarterback to win MVP at +12500. No receiver has ever won regular-season MVP. However, JSN could also become the first-ever 2,000-yard receiver.

JSN leads the NFL with 1,541 receiving yards. Averaging 150 receiving YPG over the final month will not be easy, but neither is winning the MVP. Breaking the receiving record could be JSN’s ticket to the MVP if the top QB options stumble down the stretch.

Best MVP Value at Current Odds

The best value in the current MVP lines is Josh Allen at 11-1. If Allen continues to play at superhuman levels and manages an improbable division comeback, he will have an excellent case for MVP.

Buffalo is a long shot to secure the number one seed, but the second seed is in play. If Allen leads Buffalo to an unlikely fifth straight division title and Stafford struggles at all in the final month, the reigning MVP’s odds of repeating will shorten significantly.

Our Prediction for 2025 MVP

His record-setting streak of TDs without an INT is over, but Stafford has done enough to be the odds-on favorite for MVP.  The Week 15 win over Detroit put the Rams in position to all but lock up the division and the number one seed in their Week 16 matchup against Seattle.

No one is catching Stafford for the passing TD title this season. If he can find a way to retake the passing yards lead, then his MVP case will be that much stronger.

Do You Agree With Our NFL MVP Pick?

It is not too late to bet on the current NFL MVP odds and get a piece of one of the most popular NFL futures. See the guide above to shop the updated odds for MVP this season.

Then, create your BetOnline account to wager on your MVP prediction. The oddsmakers at this site update their MVP betting lines weekly to reflect the latest developments. You can also claim a welcome bonus worth up to $250 in free bets to help you fund your MVP wagers.