NFL Playoffs Predictions and Props

Wagering on your NFL Conference Championship predictions is your second-to-last chance to wager on football this season. The winners of this weekend’s games will meet in Super Bowl 60 with the Lombardi Trophy on the line.
I break down my NFL predictions for the Conference Championship games below. Also, I highlight my favorite prop bets for Conference Championship weekend.
NFL Conference Championship Overview
BetOnline provided the following odds for Sunday’s AFC and NFC Conference Championship games.
- New England Patriots -4.5 (-110) vs. Denver Broncos
- Los Angeles Rams vs. Seattle Seahawks -2.5 (-115)
With Bo Nix out for the season, it is no surprise that Denver is a 4.5-point underdog this weekend against New England. The Broncos’ defense will have to step up its game for the number one seed to have a chance of ending the Pats’ undefeated road game-winning streak.
Then, in the NFC, the Rams take on the Seahawks for a third time this season. They split their regular-season series, with both teams winning on the road. Now, Seattle is a 2.5-point home favorite with the conference title on the line.
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NFL Conference Championship Games Predictions
Continue reading for a closer look at the latest odds for this season’s NFL Conference Championship Games.
New England Patriots -4.5 (-110) vs. Denver Broncos
| Team | Point Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| New England Patriots | -4.5 (-110) | -250 | Over 42.5 (-115) |
| Denver Broncos | +4.5 (-110) | +207 | Under 42.5 (-105) |
There is no good time to lose your starting QB, but Bo Nix’s broken ankle on the final drive of the Broncos’ OT win over the Bills could not have come at a worse time. With Nix out, Denver will turn to Jarrett Stidham, who is 1-3 in his career starts and has not started a game in two seasons.
Denver has relied heavily on its defense all season, but Nix was the key to the Broncos’ late-game comebacks. Without Nix, the Broncos’ defense must be even better on Sunday for Denver to have a chance at the upset.
The Broncos went 8-1 at home this year, but the AFC’s number one seed is a 4.5-point home favorite on Sunday. New England, which went undefeated on the road this year, is a -250 moneyline favorite at Mile High.
New England had the best point differential in the AFC, finishing the regular season at +170. Drake Maye has been pressured in the playoffs, getting sacked 10 times and racking up six fumbles in two games. He has also thrown a pick in both games so far.
On the bright side, Maye and company got plenty of practice against a great defense last week against Houston. The Pats have also won both of their playoff games this season by double digits. If Maye can protect the ball on Sunday, New England will win and cover against the injury-depleted Broncos.
- Prediction: Patriots -4.5 -110
Los Angeles Rams vs. Seattle Seahawks -2.5 (-115)
| Team | Point Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Rams | +2.5 (-105) | +130 | Over 47.0 (-108) |
| Seattle Seahawks | -2.5 (-115) | -150 | Under 47.0 (-112) |
The Rams and Seahawks regular-season meetings both came down to the wire. Jason Myers missed the game-winning field goal against LA in Week 11. Seattle got its revenge in Week 16, though, beating the Rams at SoFi 38-37 in OT.
Sam Darnold and the Seahawks steamrolled the 49ers last week, winning 41-6 over their divisional rival. Seattle is a 2.5-point favorite to beat LA this week and advance to the Super Bowl. LA, which won in Seattle earlier this season, is a +130 underdog on Sunday.
Darnold played well overall in his first season in Seattle, but he struggled against the Rams’ defense.
| Stat Category | Against the Rams | Against Any Other Team |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-1 | 14-2 |
| Passing Yards | 274.5 YPG | 226.44 YPG |
| Passing Touchdowns | 1.0 per game | 1.5 per game |
| Interceptions | 3.0 per game | 0.5 per game |
| Sacks | 2.0 per game | 1.56 per game |
He threw for 270+ passing yards in both starts against LA, but Darnold also had six interceptions against the Rams this year. The Rams also sacked Darnold four times in their two matchups and held him without a passing TD in their Week 11 win.
LA is the healthier team, too, after Zach Charbonnet, who led the Seahawks with 12 rushing TDs this season, tore his ACL last week.
Seattle’s injuries and Darnold’s past struggles make the Rams a live dog this weekend. If LA’s defense can force Darnold into a multi-turnover game for the third straight time, the Rams will pull off the upset on Sunday.
- Prediction: Rams +130
Best NFL Player Props for the Divisional Round
Top NFL betting sites also offer exciting NFL player props for the Conference Championships.
| Conference Championship Game | NFL Player Prop | Prop Odds |
|---|---|---|
| New England Patriots vs. Denver Broncos | Rhamondre Stevenson over 48.5 rushing yards | -120 |
| Los Angeles Rams vs. Seattle Seahawks | Kenneth Walker III over 2.5 receptions | -155 |
| New England Patriots vs. Denver Broncos | Evan Engram anytime TD scorer | +425 |
| Los Angeles Rams vs. Seattle Seahawks | Puka Nacua over 7.5 receptions | -125 |
Rhamondre Stevenson Over 48.5 Rushing Yards (-120)
Rhamondre Stevenson has resumed his role as the Patriots’ lead RB with a string of dominant performances. He has 209 scrimmage yards so far in the playoffs, averaging 6.33 yards per carry so far this postseason.
Stevenson faces a tough matchup this week in Denver. The Broncos had the second-best rush defense in the NFL, allowing just 91.1 rushing YPG.
Despite a tough matchup, Stevenson will be a vital part of the Pats’ game plan this week in Denver. New England will likely have a lead early, and running the ball will help slow down Denver’s pass rush.
With that in mind, I think Stevenson can cover the over on his rushing yards total of 48.5. He has racked up at least 50 rushing yards in five of his last six games. Stevenson will top 50 yards again on Sunday against Denver.
Kenneth Walker III Over 2.5 Receptions (-155)
Another running back who should have a heavy workload on Sunday is Seattle’s Kenneth Walker III. With fellow Seattle RB Zach Charbonnet out with a torn ACL, Walker is likely to see an increase in touches this weekend.
Walker had three TDs in the Seahawks’ 41-6 win last week. He has also totaled 130+ scrimmage yards in three of his last four starts.
With three catches last week, Walker finished second on Seattle in receiving. He also had 31 receptions on 36 targets in the regular season, the most by a Seahawks RB this year. Walker has caught at least three passes in three of his last four games, and will need to be active as a receiver if Seattle is going to take down LA.
Evan Engram Anytime TD Scorer (+425)
Evan Engram’s first season in Denver did not live up to expectations. After a successful three-year run with the Jaguars, Engram was supposed to be a game-changer for the Broncos’ offense.
Engram caught 50 passes this year, the third-most on the team. However, Engram only produced one TD in his first year with Denver. His lack of scoring production is a major reason Engram is listed at +425 odds to score against the Patriots this weekend.
Denver could also be without two of their top three WRs, Troy Franklin (hamstring) and Pat Bryant (concussion), opening the door for Engram to have more targets. An increased role in the offense should help Engram find the endzone this weekend.
Puka Nacua Over 7.5 Receptions (-125)
Rounding out my list of the best NFL prop bets for Conference Championship weekend is Puka Nacua over 7.5 catches. Nacua has cemented himself as one of the best receivers in the NFL. He finished second in the NFL with 1,715 yards on a league-high 129 receptions.
Nacua averaged eight receptions per game in the regular season, and he has 15 catches so far in the playoffs.
The league’s reception leader had two productive outings against Seattle this season. Nacua had 300 receiving yards on 19 catches across the two games. He should see a similar workload this week and easily cover the over on 7.5 catches.
Where to Bet on NFL Conference Championship Picks and Props
Wagering on your NFL Conference Championship predictions is the best way to take advantage of this weekend’s exciting matchups. BetOnline offers profitable game lines and prop betting markets for the AFC and NFC title games this weekend.
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